On the Operational Resilience of CBDC: Threats and Prospects of Formal Validation for Offline Payments

Information and communication technologies are by now employed in most activities, including economics and finance. Despite the extraordinary power of modern computers and the vast amount of memory, some results of theoretical computer science imply the impossibility of certifying software quality in general. With the exception of safety-critical systems, this has primarily concerned the information processed by confined systems, with limited socio-economic consequences. In the emerging era of technologies for exchanging digital money and tokenized assets over the Internet - such as central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) - even a minor bug could trigger a financial collapse. Although the aforementioned impossibility results cannot be overcome in an absolute sense, there exist formal methods that can provide assertions of computing systems correctness. We advocate their use to validate the operational resilience of software infrastructures enabling CBDCs, with special emphasis on offline payments as they constitute a very critical issue.