The logical problem of verisimilitude amounts to the preliminary definition of an appropriate notion of verisimilitude, allowing for a comparison of any two hypotheses with regards to their closeness to the truth. The epistemic problem of verisimilitude, on the other hand, amounts to the definition of an appropriate notion of expected verisimilitude by which the estimated closeness to the truth of any two hypotheses could be compared on the basis of the available data. We will outline the formal background to briefly address both problems in turn, introducing the basic traits of a theory of verisimilitude and expected verisimilitude for hypotheses expressed in a propositional language. Then, we will come back to the conjunction paradox and provide a novel verisimilitudinarian analysis of the Linda’s story and the paradox of conjunction.
The Whole Truth about Linda: Probability, Verisimilitude and a Paradox of Conjunction
FESTA, Roberto;CRUPI, VINCENZO
2011-01-01
Abstract
The logical problem of verisimilitude amounts to the preliminary definition of an appropriate notion of verisimilitude, allowing for a comparison of any two hypotheses with regards to their closeness to the truth. The epistemic problem of verisimilitude, on the other hand, amounts to the definition of an appropriate notion of expected verisimilitude by which the estimated closeness to the truth of any two hypotheses could be compared on the basis of the available data. We will outline the formal background to briefly address both problems in turn, introducing the basic traits of a theory of verisimilitude and expected verisimilitude for hypotheses expressed in a propositional language. Then, we will come back to the conjunction paradox and provide a novel verisimilitudinarian analysis of the Linda’s story and the paradox of conjunction.Pubblicazioni consigliate
I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.
