We consider a behavioral SIR epidemic model to describe the action of the public health system aimed at enhancing the social distancing during an epidemic outbreak. An optimal control problem is proposed where the control acts in a specific way on the contact rate. We show that the optimal control of social distancing is able to generate a period doubling–like phenomenon. Namely, the ‘period’ of the prevalence is the double of the ‘period’ of the control, and an alternation of small and large peaks of disease prevalence can be observed.

‘Period doubling’ induced by optimal control in a behavioral SIR epidemic model

d'Onofrio A.
;
2022-01-01

Abstract

We consider a behavioral SIR epidemic model to describe the action of the public health system aimed at enhancing the social distancing during an epidemic outbreak. An optimal control problem is proposed where the control acts in a specific way on the contact rate. We show that the optimal control of social distancing is able to generate a period doubling–like phenomenon. Namely, the ‘period’ of the prevalence is the double of the ‘period’ of the control, and an alternation of small and large peaks of disease prevalence can be observed.
File in questo prodotto:
File Dimensione Formato  
1-s2.0-S0960077922005574-main (1).pdf

Accesso chiuso

Licenza: Copyright Editore
Dimensione 2.26 MB
Formato Adobe PDF
2.26 MB Adobe PDF   Visualizza/Apri   Richiedi una copia
1-s2.0-S0960077922005574-main+(1)-Post_print.pdf

Open Access dal 16/07/2024

Tipologia: Bozza finale post-referaggio (post-print)
Licenza: Creative commons
Dimensione 2.6 MB
Formato Adobe PDF
2.6 MB Adobe PDF Visualizza/Apri
Pubblicazioni consigliate

I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.

Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11368/3029097
Citazioni
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.pmc??? ND
  • Scopus 6
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.isi??? 5
social impact