Here, we explore the phase transitions triggered by the implementation of social distancing in a basic spatiotemporal model of a qualitative SIS-type infectious disease. We consider human decisions made based on spatiotemporal information regarding the disease spread. This information can be either local, nonlocal with a finite range, or global in scope. We show that nonlocal and global feedbacks, while resulting in the same spatially homogeneous equilibria, lead to a dynamic behavior that is fundamentally distinct from what is observed when decisions are made based on local information. Various phenomena arise due to the nonlocal nature of the feedback: (i) Instabilization of Otherwise Stable Homogeneous Equilibria; (ii) Nucleation/Invasion Phenomena; (iii) Onset of Standard and Generalized Traveling Waves, which can incur in wave-pinning; iv) in case of Global Information Feedback, onset of locally stable Far From Equilibrium Patterns that coexist with a locally stable disease-elimination equilibrium. Thus, the nonlocal nature of the human behavior-related feedback introduces a rich array of dynamic behaviors and patterns in the system.
Behavior-induced phase transitions with far from equilibrium patterning in a SIS epidemic model: Global vs non-local feedback / Banerjee, Malay; Volpert, Vitaly; Manfredi, Piero; D'Onofrio, Alberto. - In: PHYSICA D-NONLINEAR PHENOMENA. - ISSN 0167-2789. - 469:(2024), pp. 134316.--134316.-. [10.1016/j.physd.2024.134316]
Behavior-induced phase transitions with far from equilibrium patterning in a SIS epidemic model: Global vs non-local feedback
d'Onofrio, Alberto
Conceptualization
2024-01-01
Abstract
Here, we explore the phase transitions triggered by the implementation of social distancing in a basic spatiotemporal model of a qualitative SIS-type infectious disease. We consider human decisions made based on spatiotemporal information regarding the disease spread. This information can be either local, nonlocal with a finite range, or global in scope. We show that nonlocal and global feedbacks, while resulting in the same spatially homogeneous equilibria, lead to a dynamic behavior that is fundamentally distinct from what is observed when decisions are made based on local information. Various phenomena arise due to the nonlocal nature of the feedback: (i) Instabilization of Otherwise Stable Homogeneous Equilibria; (ii) Nucleation/Invasion Phenomena; (iii) Onset of Standard and Generalized Traveling Waves, which can incur in wave-pinning; iv) in case of Global Information Feedback, onset of locally stable Far From Equilibrium Patterns that coexist with a locally stable disease-elimination equilibrium. Thus, the nonlocal nature of the human behavior-related feedback introduces a rich array of dynamic behaviors and patterns in the system.Pubblicazioni consigliate
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